09. Financial Plan Outline

Detailed Financial Plan — Power Trading (Prop-Style, No Physical Assets)

Core assumption: You do not buy power plants or batteries. You trade price only (intraday / day-ahead / spreads) using prop capital or your own risk capital. Goal is to build a systematic edge with AI agents and scale.

All figures are realistic ranges based on public results of Danish/Nordic pure traders and typical prop economics. Actual outcomes depend heavily on volatility regime, edge quality and risk management.

1. Starting Point (Today)

Your situation (as stated): Limited personal capital, want to treat this as a serious idea, later share publicly (LinkedIn), potentially build agents.

Realistic entry paths:

Path A: Join / partner with an existing small energy prop desk or prop firm that already has market access.
Path B: Build models + paper track record → raise small outside capital or get allocated prop capital.
Path C: Direct membership (EPEX / Nord Pool etc.) — high barrier (capital, BRP status, compliance).

Most individuals start with A or B.

2. Phase 0 — Foundation (Months 0–6)

Objective: Deep understanding + first working agents + paper track record.

Item	Estimated cost
Data feeds (weather, generation, prices)	€2,000–8,000
Tools / cloud / development	€1,000–3,000
Education / courses / conferences	€1,000–4,000
Possible prop challenge or trial access	€0–5,000
Total Phase 0	€5,000–20,000

Deliverables:

2–3 working agents (Negative Price Hunter, Weather Delta, Regime Classifier)
Documented strategy rules
Minimum 3–6 months paper results with realistic slippage and fees
Clear risk rules (max daily loss, time-to-delivery limits, position sizing)